by Joan Swart | Oct 22, 2026 | Defence Policy and Strategy, Military strategy, SANDF, SOUTH AFRICAN POLICE SERVICE, STRATEGIC STUDIES
Abstract: South Africa’s 2026 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement highlights the gap between defence funding, operational readiness and strategic ambition. Examining budget adjustments, military performance indicators and the unresolved strategic framework, this...
by Joan Swart | Oct 6, 2026 | Defence Policy and Strategy, Military strategy, SANDF, SOUTH AFRICAN POLICE SERVICE, STRATEGIC STUDIES
Abstract: South Africa’s Zama Zama crisis extends beyond illegal mining into organised crime, institutional vulnerability and national security. Tactical operations can disrupt activity, but lasting progress requires intelligence-led investigations, institutional...
by Joan Swart | Sep 20, 2026 | Defence Policy and Strategy, Global Power, Middle East, Military strategy, SANDF, STRATEGIC STUDIES
Abstract: Military power is constrained by more than weapons, soldiers and technology. From Napoleon’s disastrous Russian campaign to the US war with Iran and South Africa’s operations in Central Africa, the ability to sustain forces at distance can...
by Joan Swart | Sep 16, 2026 | Defence Policy and Strategy, Diplomacy, Energy Security, Global Power, Middle East, STRATEGIC STUDIES
Abstract: War-related disruption, economic pressure and growing public dissatisfaction are increasingly converging across the Middle East. The conditions differ from those of 2011, but their interaction could create a second-order dynamic in which external conflict...
by Dr Joan Swart | May 10, 2026 | Strategic Interconnectivity, Africa Strategic Alignments, Defence Policy and Strategy, JIHADISM, JIHADISM IN AFRICA, JIHADIST MOVEMENTS, New Weapons of War, STARLINK, STRATEGIC STUDIES
Abstract: In Nongqai Vol.17 No 5, Strategic Security Analyst Dr Joan Swart examines why, how and where Jihadist movements operate in Africa. Why do Jihadist movements survive and thrive, despite the countermeasures African governments take against them? Dr Joan Swart...
