NONGQAISouth Africa’s National Security MagazineEstablished in 1907
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11 articles match your filters

The World Between the Lines: The Fortress Where Lions Dwell — Abu'l-Fazl Beyhaqi and the Illusion of Easy Victory, Joan Swart
KULTURELE IDENTITEIT/CULTURAL IDENTITY

The World Between the Lines: The Fortress Where Lions Dwell — Abu'l-Fazl Beyhaqi and the Illusion of Easy Victory, Joan Swart

Abu'l-Fazl Beyhaqi’s eleventh-century history offers enduring lessons in military strategy, from the dangers of overconfidence and misjudging an adversary to the importance of logistics, adaptation and sound decision-making. Through Beyhaqi’s account of military setbacks and strategic decline, this article explores why historical insights remain relevant to understanding the challenges of warfare today.

Medium Term Budget Policy Statement and SA Defence, Joan Swart
Defence Policy and Strategy

Medium Term Budget Policy Statement and SA Defence, Joan Swart

South Africa’s 2026 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement highlights the gap between defence funding, operational readiness and strategic ambition. Examining budget adjustments, military performance indicators and the unresolved strategic framework, this article considers whether the SANDF can sustain its commitments within the country’s fiscal constraints.

The Zama Zama Problem, Joan Swart
Defence Policy and Strategy

The Zama Zama Problem, Joan Swart

South Africa’s Zama Zama crisis extends beyond illegal mining into organised crime, institutional vulnerability and national security. Tactical operations can disrupt activity, but lasting progress requires intelligence-led investigations, institutional integrity, financial disruption, community cooperation and economically viable long-term solutions.

When Military Power Runs Out of Road Joan Swart
Defence Policy and Strategy

When Military Power Runs Out of Road Joan Swart

Military power is constrained by more than weapons, soldiers and technology. From Napoleon's disastrous Russian campaign to the US war with Iran and South Africa's operations in Central Africa, the ability to sustain forces at distance can determine what military power can actually achieve.

Is a Second-Order Arab Spring Emerging? Joan Swart
Defence Policy and Strategy

Is a Second-Order Arab Spring Emerging? Joan Swart

War-related disruption, economic pressure and growing public dissatisfaction are increasingly converging across the Middle East. The conditions differ from those of 2011, but their interaction could create a second-order Arab Spring dynamic in which external conflict feeds existing domestic grievances and produces a new wave of regional unrest.

JIHADIST NETWORKS IN AFRICA - Dr Joan Swart
Africa Strategic Alignments

JIHADIST NETWORKS IN AFRICA - Dr Joan Swart

Abstract: In Nongqai Vol.17 No 5, Strategic Security Analyst Dr Joan Swart examines why, how and where Jihadist movements operate in Africa. Why do Jihadist movements survive and thrive despite the countermeasures African governments take against them?

STARLINK and CONNECTIVITY - Dr Joan Swart
Africa Strategic Alignments

STARLINK and CONNECTIVITY - Dr Joan Swart

In Nongqai Vol.17 No 4, Strategic Security Analyst Dr Joan Swart examines how and why STARLINK has become a buzz word not only in the age of Strategic Infrastructe and Interconnectivity, but also a bilateral political point of contention between South Africa and the United States.

NARRATIVE COHERENCE AND STRATEGIC POWER IN MODERN CONFLICT- Dr Joan Swart.
Africa Strategic Alignments

NARRATIVE COHERENCE AND STRATEGIC POWER IN MODERN CONFLICT- Dr Joan Swart.

In Nongqai Vol.17 No 4, Strategic Security Analyst Dr Joan Swart examines how and why observers, policymakers, and analysts interpret the same events in sharply divergent ways, sometimes arriving at conclusions that seem not merely different, but incompatible.

STRATEGIC FEEDBACK LOOPS - Dr Joan Swart.
Africa and Global Power

STRATEGIC FEEDBACK LOOPS - Dr Joan Swart.

NONGQAI's Strategic Security Analist Dr Joan Swart examines 'Strategic Feedback Loops': Why States Respond Differently—and Persist—in the Same Reality